California
W-L: (22-14) PR = 95.9117Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 65-74 1109 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 69-52 1111 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 60-52 1115 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 69-44 1116 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 76-65 1120 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 70-62 1124 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 68-63 1126 H Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 50-58 1204 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 67-68 1207 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 92-42 1210 A Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 68-61 1214 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 69-78 1221 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 57-61 1228 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 91-50 101 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 55-71 104 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 60-71 108 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 74-78 111 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 61-52 115 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) **-90 118 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 73-58 125 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 78-71 129 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 80-69 201 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 59-71 205 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 63-56 208 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 95-80 212 A Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 64-58 215 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 58-68 219 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 75-62 222 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 60-69 226 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 63-70 301 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 78-34 304 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 75-52 305 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 59-70 319 A Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 72-68 322 A Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 83-75 326 H Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 68-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Vanderbilt 65-74 -9 -2 0.00
1109 A Sacra St 69-52 17 3 0.00
1111 A Pacific 60-52 8 2 0.00
1115 A Charlotte 69-44 25 2 0.42
1116 A Harvard 76-65 11 1 1.27
1120 A Saint Marys 70-62 8 2 0.00
1124 A Grand Canyon 68-63 5 2 0.22
1126 H Auburn 50-58 -8 0 - -2.31
1204 H Missouri 67-68 -1 0 -1.30
1207 A San Jose St 92-42 50 4 0.00
1210 A Idaho 68-61 7 1 1.04
1214 H Stanford 69-78 -9 0 - -2.19
1221 H USC 57-61 -4 -1 -1.08
1228 A Cal Poly 91-50 41 5 0.00
101 H No Carolina 55-71 -16 -1 -0.50
104 H NC State 60-71 -11 -1 -1.29
108 H Duke 74-78 -4 -2 -0.33
111 A Wake Forest 61-52 9 2 0.33
115 H Syracuse **-90 15 -1 + 2.57
118 A Boston Col 73-58 15 3 0.00
125 A Stanford 78-71 7 0 1.83
129 A Notre Dame 80-69 11 -1 + 3.20
201 H Louisville 59-71 -12 -2 -0.40
205 A Georgia Tech 63-56 7 1 1.26
208 A Pittsburgh 95-80 15 3 0.00
212 A Virginia 64-58 6 0 + 2.23
215 H Va Tech 58-68 -10 0 -1.65
219 A Florida St 75-62 13 1 0.92
222 H Miami (Fl) 60-69 -9 0 - -2.30
226 H Clemson 63-70 -7 0 -1.84
301 A SMU 78-34 44 2 0.00
304 A Wake Forest 75-52 23 2 0.33
305 H Syracuse 59-70 -11 -1 -1.43
319 A Santa Clara 72-68 4 1 1.24
322 A Kansas St 83-75 8 0 1.87
326 H Columbia 68-74 -6 0 - -2.13
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 H Auburn 50-58 -8 0 - -2.31 1214 H Stanford 69-78 -9 0 - -2.19 222 H Miami (Fl) 60-69 -9 0 - -2.30 326 H Columbia 68-74 -6 0 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H Syracuse **-90 15 -1 + 2.57 129 A Notre Dame 80-69 11 -1 + 3.20 212 A Virginia 64-58 6 0 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 65-74 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.84 -0.78
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 69-52 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.84 7.48
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 60-52 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.84 8.10
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 69-44 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.84 9.10
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 76-65 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.84 10.52
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 70-62 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.84 8.33
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 68-63 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.84 8.76
3 H Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 50-58 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.84 -1.81
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 67-68 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.84 -1.81
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 92-42 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.84 5.32
3 A Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 68-61 -4.96 6.00 0.01 0.84 10.13
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 69-78 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.84 -1.76
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 57-61 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 0.84 -1.29
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 91-50 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.84 3.69
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 55-71 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.84 -1.05
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 60-71 -3.27 7.69 -0.01 0.84 -1.38
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 74-78 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.84 -0.98
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 61-52 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.84 8.95
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) **-90 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.84 12.71
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 73-58 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.84 6.66
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 78-71 -4.17 6.79 0.01 0.84 11.47
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 80-69 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.84 13.78
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 59-71 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.84 -1.00
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 63-56 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.84 10.51
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 95-80 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.84 6.80
3 A Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 64-58 -3.77 7.19 0.01 0.84 12.14
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 58-68 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.84 -1.53
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 75-62 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.84 9.94
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 60-69 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.84 -1.81
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 63-70 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.84 -1.61
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 78-34 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.84 8.15
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 75-52 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.84 8.95
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 59-70 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.84 -1.44
3 A Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 72-68 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.84 10.47
3 A Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 83-75 -4.13 6.84 0.01 0.84 11.54
3 H Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 68-74 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.84 -1.74
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183.49
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winning pts = 203.4845 losing points = -19.9989
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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